About

I created Copy Cat Bettor to document my +EV betting experience. Positve expected value betting is making bets that are expected to return a profit in the long term. It doesn’t guarantee you will win every bet, it just means that if you continue to make +EV bets you should come out ahead over time.

When I first dipped my toes in sports betting I had no clue as to what I was doing. I did what everyone else does, bet with a feeling of who I “thought” would win. And that’s exactly how the sports books want you to bet. They try to set the lines as close to the final outcome as possible in order to get equal action on both sides of every bet. Once their model determines the probability of a bet, they add their in their guaranteed profit (aka: juice, vigorish) and post the inflated odds for the typical sportsball fan to bet on. Sports books know that in the long run they will be profitable because of that edge they build into the odds. The job of +EV betting is to determine the fair odds of a bet and then find a sports book that is offering that bet with odds that are better than the fair odds.

Learning about +EV betting has been a tremendous help in becoming a profitable sports bettor. With this site I will be posting resources that have helped me to start to understand this side of the betting world, along with new information I learn along the way.